Macara vs Barcelona SC prediction

21:30

Sat 31 Oct, 21:30 Estadio Bellavista

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 76%Books 75% Best odds 1.29 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

51%

Bookmakers 49%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

22%

Bookmakers 23%

Us 51%Bookmakers 49% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.5% alone is not enough).

Home win: 51% against a market price of 49% (+2.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Macara vs Barcelona SC preview

Macara host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro on Saturday 31 October at 21:30 at Estadio Bellavista.

Our model gives Macara 51%, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 49%, 28% and 23%.

Macara have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Barcelona SC have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Macara won 3, Barcelona SC won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.

More Liga Pro predictions

All Liga Pro matches

Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca Delfin SC win 41% @ 2.33
Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Emelec vs Leones del Norte Emelec win 45% @ 2.25

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Macara

WWWWW

24 Oct · A v LDU de Quito 2–1 (xG 1.06–1.43)
17 Oct · H v Independiente del Valle 1–0 (xG 0.98–1.76)
11 Oct · A v Universidad Catolica 1–0 (xG 0.98–1.30)
19 Sep · A v Aucas 2–1
13 Sep · H v Emelec 1–0

Barcelona SC

WDLDD

25 Oct · A v Aucas 4–0 (xG 1.03–0.77)
18 Oct · H v Universidad Catolica 1–1 (xG 0.55–0.28)
11 Oct · A v LDU de Quito 1–2 (xG 0.00–0.00)
13 Sep · H v Delfin SC 1–1
7 Sep · A v Aucas 1–1 (xG 1.01–1.62)

Head-to-head

Macara 3 · draws 1 · Barcelona SC 2, 2.5 goals a game

9 Aug 2026 · Barcelona SC 1–2 Macara (Liga Pro)
19 Apr 2026 · Macara 3–1 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)
17 Aug 2025 · Barcelona SC 0–2 Macara (Liga Pro)
27 Apr 2025 · Macara 0–1 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)
15 Sep 2024 · Barcelona SC 2–1 Macara (Liga Pro)
30 Mar 2024 · Macara 1–1 Barcelona SC (Liga Pro)