Emelec vs Leones del Norte prediction

19:00

Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Estadio George Capwell

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

45%

Bookmakers 46%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Away win

27%

Bookmakers 25%

Us 45%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 45% against a market price of 46% (-1.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Emelec vs Leones del Norte preview

Emelec host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Saturday 31 October at 19:00 at Estadio George Capwell.

Our model gives Emelec 45%, the draw 28% and Leones del Norte 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 29% and 25%.

Emelec have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Leones del Norte have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Emelec won 2, Leones del Norte won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 80%.

More Liga Pro predictions

All Liga Pro matches

Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca Delfin SC win 41% @ 2.33
Sat 31 Oct, 21:30 Macara vs Barcelona SC Macara win 51% @ 1.97

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Emelec

LWLLL

25 Oct · H v Guayaquil City FC 0–1 (xG 2.62–1.30)
18 Oct · A v Leones del Norte 3–1 (xG 1.71–0.49)
10 Oct · A v Guayaquil City FC 2–3 (xG 1.52–2.42)
20 Sep · H v Libertad 1–2
13 Sep · A v Macara 0–1

Leones del Norte

WLLDL

25 Oct · H v Libertad 4–1 (xG 2.34–2.04)
18 Oct · H v Emelec 1–3 (xG 0.49–1.71)
9 Oct · A v Libertad 0–3 (xG 1.03–2.12)
19 Sep · A v Guayaquil City FC 1–1
13 Sep · H v Tecnico Universitario 0–1

Head-to-head

Emelec 2 · draws 0 · Leones del Norte 1, 3.0 goals a game

18 Oct 2026 · Leones del Norte 1–3 Emelec (Liga Pro)
30 Aug 2026 · Emelec 2–1 Leones del Norte (Liga Pro)
3 May 2026 · Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec (Liga Pro)