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Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 00:00 Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
54%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 54%Bookmakers 51% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.9% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 54% against a market price of 51% (+2.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora preview

Oriente Petrolero host Aurora in the Primera División on Saturday 31 October at 00:00 at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.

Our model gives Oriente Petrolero 54%, the draw 23% and Aurora 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 51%, 24% and 25%.

Oriente Petrolero have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Aurora have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Oriente Petrolero won 2, Aurora won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 4.4 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.

More Primera División predictions

All Primera División matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Oriente Petrolero

WDWWL
  • 25 Oct · H v The Strongest 2–1 (xG 1.29–1.39)
  • 18 Oct · A v Guabirá 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.69)
  • 10 Oct · H v ABB 1–0 (xG 0.89–0.16)
  • 17 Sep · A v Real Tomayapo 2–0
  • 12 Sep · A v Real Potosí 1–2

Aurora

WLDLW
  • 25 Oct · H v Real Tomayapo 1–0 (xG 1.41–0.85)
  • 17 Oct · A v Real Oruro 0–1 (xG 1.30–1.98)
  • 11 Oct · H v Nacional Potosí 2–2 (xG 3.73–2.70)
  • 16 Sep · A v Guabirá 1–3
  • 11 Sep · A v San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–0 (xG 1.97–0.76)

Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 2 · draws 1 · Aurora 2, 4.4 goals a game

  • 19 Jul 2026 · Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero (Primera División)
  • 4 Aug 2025 · Oriente Petrolero 3–0 Aurora (Primera División)
  • 30 Mar 2025 · Aurora 5–1 Oriente Petrolero (Primera División)
  • 25 Sep 2024 · Oriente Petrolero 5–0 Aurora (Primera División)
  • 12 May 2024 · Aurora 3–1 Oriente Petrolero (Primera División)