Guabirá vs Bolívar prediction

21:15

Sun 1 Nov, 21:15 Estadio Gilberto Parada

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 88%Books 88% Best odds 1.11 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

29%

Bookmakers 31%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 23%

Away win

48%

Bookmakers 46%

Us 48%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.4% alone is not enough).

Away win: 48% against a market price of 46% (+2.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Guabirá vs Bolívar preview

Guabirá host Bolívar in the Primera División on Sunday 1 November at 21:15 at Estadio Gilberto Parada.

Our model gives Guabirá 29%, the draw 23% and Bolívar 48%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 23% and 46%.

Guabirá have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 15 conceded).

Bolívar have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Guabirá won 0, Bolívar won 5 and 0 were drawn, with 4.4 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 88%.

More Primera División predictions

All Primera División matches

Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero Real Potosí win 69% @ 1.40
Sat 31 Oct, 00:00 Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora Oriente Petrolero win 54% @ 1.88
Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí win 40% @ 2.25
Sat 31 Oct, 21:15 ABB vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo ABB win 49% @ 2.00
Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ The Strongest win 78% @ 1.26
Sun 1 Nov, 23:30 Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready Always Ready win 60% @ 1.62

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Guabirá

LDLWL

26 Oct · A v Nacional Potosí 0–3 (xG 0.42–2.28)
18 Oct · H v Oriente Petrolero 1–1 (xG 1.69–1.12)
12 Oct · A v Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–4 (xG 0.64–2.74)
16 Sep · H v Aurora 3–1
13 Sep · A v Always Ready 0–6

Bolívar

WWWWW

27 Oct · H v Universitario de Vinto 2–1
18 Oct · A v Nacional Potosí 1–0 (xG 0.74–2.27)
11 Oct · H v Blooming 1–0
18 Sep · H v Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4–2
14 Sep · A v Real Tomayapo 2–1

Head-to-head

Guabirá 0 · draws 0 · Bolívar 5, 4.4 goals a game

18 Jul 2026 · Bolívar 4–0 Guabirá (Primera División)
13 Sep 2025 · Bolívar 4–0 Guabirá (Primera División)
20 Apr 2025 · Guabirá 2–4 Bolívar (Primera División)
20 Dec 2024 · Bolívar 3–2 Guabirá (Primera División)
22 Sep 2024 · Guabirá 0–3 Bolívar (Primera División)