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Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 16:00
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
40%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 40%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.7% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 40% against a market price of 39% (+1.7%).

The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Cerro vs Central Espanol preview

Cerro host Central Espanol in the Primera División on Saturday 31 October at 16:00.

Our model gives Cerro 40%, the draw 30% and Central Espanol 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 39%, 30% and 31%.

Cerro have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).

Central Espanol have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Cerro won 1, Central Espanol won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 82%.

More Primera División predictions

All Primera División matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Cerro

LDWLD
  • 25 Oct · A v Atletico Torque 1–3
  • 16 Oct · H v Cerro Largo 1–1
  • 10 Oct · A v Defensor Sporting 3–2
  • 4 Oct · H v Wanderers 0–2
  • 27 Sep · A v Juventud 0–0

Central Espanol

LLLLL
  • 24 Oct · H v Albion FC 1–3
  • 18 Oct · A v Danubio 0–1
  • 11 Oct · H v Club Nacional 0–1
  • 3 Oct · A v Deportivo Maldonado 0–3
  • 27 Sep · H v Liverpool Montevideo 1–2

Head-to-head

Cerro 1 · draws 0 · Central Espanol 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 24 May 2026 · Cerro 1–0 Central Espanol (Primera División)
  • 26 Apr 2026 · Central Espanol 3–1 Cerro (Primera División)