Penarol vs Wanderers prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 19:30
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 77%Books 74% Beats the odds Best odds 1.31 (Pinnacle)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersUs 73%Books 73% Best odds 1.31 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 66%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
14%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 62%Bookmakers 66%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-8.4% expected per unit).
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 66% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Penarol vs Wanderers preview
Penarol host Wanderers in the Primera División on Saturday 31 October at 19:30.
Our model gives Penarol 62%, the draw 23% and Wanderers 14%; the bookmakers' prices said 66%, 22% and 12%.
Penarol have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (3 scored, 3 conceded).
Wanderers have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).
In their last 6 meetings Penarol won 4, Wanderers won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 77%.
More Primera División predictions
All Primera División matches- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Racing Montevideo win 51% @ 1.77
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Cerro vs Central Espanol Cerro win 40% @ 2.48
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPenarol
DLDWD
- 23 Oct · A v Juventud 0–0
- 18 Oct · A v Liverpool Montevideo 0–1
- 10 Oct · H v Progreso 1–1
- 4 Oct · A v Racing Montevideo 1–0
- 30 Sep · A v Atletico Torque 1–1
Wanderers
LLLWW
- 25 Oct · H v Progreso 0–1
- 17 Oct · A v Racing Montevideo 0–3
- 10 Oct · H v Boston River 1–3
- 4 Oct · A v Cerro 2–0
- 28 Sep · H v Albion FC 2–1
Head-to-head
Penarol 4 · draws 0 · Wanderers 2, 2.5 goals a game
- 5 Aug 2026 · Penarol 5–1 Wanderers (Primera División)
- 26 Apr 2026 · Wanderers 1–0 Penarol (Primera División)
- 22 Jun 2025 · Penarol 2–0 Wanderers (Primera División)
- 19 Apr 2025 · Wanderers 1–2 Penarol (Primera División)
- 8 Jun 2024 · Wanderers 2–0 Penarol (Primera División)
- 11 May 2024 · Penarol 1–0 Wanderers (Primera División)