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{
  "away": "Kristianstad W",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0065,
  "explanation": "Away win: 89% against a market price of 90% (-0.6%).\nExpected goals Uppsala W 1.04 – 3.27 Kristianstad W.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 79% (uncertainty ±8.1%), so it carries 9% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nUppsala W's defence (2.09× the league rate against) adds 2.8 pts to away win.\nKristianstad W's attack (1.24× the league rate) adds 0.8 pts to away win.\nUppsala W's attack (0.68× the league rate) adds 0.8 pts to away win.\nTagged Banker: 89% likely, uncertainty only ±0.8%, market agrees.",
  "fixture": 1495585,
  "home": "Uppsala W",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Damallsvenskan",
  "league_api_id": 549,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.897,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-549-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "1.06",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.8905,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "banker",
  "tag_reason": "89% likely, uncertainty only ±0.8%, market agrees",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}