Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #317: pick published

Hash verified

Falkenbergs FF v Landskrona BoIS: Home win 40% @ 2.45 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:01:50.698929+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: bf2a51ea0fdeca67cc11211b6fd7f1e43ee1c4a0f2829eca98f5d0a2819d0575
Stored hash: 5e5b1f8af8af039b2e043671521da842af5c7aa3a043d523dabe0ef8d29e1c88
Recomputed: 5e5b1f8af8af039b2e043671521da842af5c7aa3a043d523dabe0ef8d29e1c88

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Landskrona BoIS",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": 0.0181,
  "explanation": "Home win: 40% against a market price of 38% (+1.8%).\nExpected goals Falkenbergs FF 1.45 – 1.10 Landskrona BoIS.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 44% (uncertainty ±7.7%), so it carries 28% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+18% goals at home) adds 1.7 pts to home win.\nFalkenbergs FF's attack (1.14× the league rate) adds 1.4 pts to home win.\nLandskrona BoIS's defence (0.94× the league rate against) takes 0.6 pts from home win.\nFalkenbergs FF's defence (0.94× the league rate against) adds 0.4 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+1.8%).",
  "fixture": 1497721,
  "home": "Falkenbergs FF",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Superettan",
  "league_api_id": 114,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.3778,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-114-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.45",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.3959,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+1.8%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#316 #318

Latest entries

1514 in total