Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #413: pick published

Hash verified

Maccabi Netanya v Ironi Kiryat Shmona: Home win 52% @ 1.75 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:04:11.649521+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: c6e103c6ffe1a5941413f3c4e02d3527f14ae8d954646c8f603a55860f63afc2
Stored hash: ccb5c21034f23a31cce0b87b7a6b143aae66437a7e2eca1d777f8ee00958b20c
Recomputed: ccb5c21034f23a31cce0b87b7a6b143aae66437a7e2eca1d777f8ee00958b20c

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Ironi Kiryat Shmona",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0156,
  "explanation": "Home win: 52% against a market price of 54% (-1.6%).\nExpected goals Maccabi Netanya 1.89 – 1.52 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 45% (uncertainty ±9.6%), so it carries 20% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nMaccabi Netanya's attack (1.13× the league rate) adds 1.0 pts to home win.\nIroni Kiryat Shmona's defence (1.11× the league rate against) adds 0.9 pts to home win.\nHome advantage in this league (+9% goals at home) adds 0.7 pts to home win.\nMaccabi Netanya's defence (1.11× the league rate against) takes 0.6 pts from home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.6%).",
  "fixture": 1555526,
  "home": "Maccabi Netanya",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:15:00+00:00",
  "league": "Ligat Ha'al",
  "league_api_id": 383,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.5363,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-383-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "1.75",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.5206,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.6%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#412 #414

Latest entries

1514 in total