Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #425: pick published

Hash verified

Ried v Austria Vienna: Home win 41% @ 2.36 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:04:32.433246+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 0967abe80d27b2bdc0dc9134dc77320ed898a3a49eb2242f4d003952718b8923
Stored hash: 7d7faf0fef18dc16eb27bcd37f39296993c63b8e3c980fef0c12b90a0b7ed927
Recomputed: 7d7faf0fef18dc16eb27bcd37f39296993c63b8e3c980fef0c12b90a0b7ed927

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Austria Vienna",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": 0.0095,
  "explanation": "Home win: 41% against a market price of 40% (+0.9%).\nExpected goals Ried 1.61 – 1.30 Austria Vienna.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 43% (uncertainty ±6.5%), so it carries 28% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+26% goals at home) adds 2.4 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+0.9%).",
  "fixture": 1561943,
  "home": "Ried",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T17:30:00+00:00",
  "league": "Bundesliga",
  "league_api_id": 218,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4002,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-218-v2)",
  "odds_taken": "2.36",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4097,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+0.9%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#424 #426

Latest entries

1507 in total