Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #60: pick published

Hash verified

Voitsberg v First Vienna: Away win 44% @ 2.08 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-16T00:00:23.107243+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 8718a33384b3ba4c73f947b03e77381ebf02e4855d7a921beccfbfaf7ee6011f
Stored hash: f9740e51cc2d9423c8eb0d0f9362ab52a985bd0318967b825c32852acd1fd097
Recomputed: f9740e51cc2d9423c8eb0d0f9362ab52a985bd0318967b825c32852acd1fd097

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "First Vienna",
  "bookmakers": 10,
  "edge": -0.0107,
  "explanation": "Away win: 44% against a market price of 45% (-1.1%).\nExpected goals Voitsberg 1.22 – 1.40 First Vienna.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 41% (uncertainty ±7.7%), so it carries 33% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nFirst Vienna's defence (0.78× the league rate against) adds 2.2 pts to away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+22% goals at home) takes 1.7 pts from away win.\nVoitsberg's defence (1.10× the league rate against) adds 1.3 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.1%).",
  "fixture": 1567924,
  "home": "Voitsberg",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-16T16:30:00+00:00",
  "league": "2. Liga",
  "league_api_id": 219,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4467,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-219-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.08",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.436,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.1%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#59 #61

Latest entries

486 in total