Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #66: pick published

Hash verified

IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgardens IF: Home win 18% @ 5.72 (Upset Watch)

Written: 2026-10-16T00:00:31.100300+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: f51057d5db86356d3600a03b83b100edf5d41d28424782442d02d29fdac86412
Stored hash: 2de3d8fd9a7ffe0e2dc482170d44b538c6061d2e3ebd5bfe13432b1436e020bf
Recomputed: 2de3d8fd9a7ffe0e2dc482170d44b538c6061d2e3ebd5bfe13432b1436e020bf

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Djurgardens IF",
  "bookmakers": 10,
  "edge": 0.0334,
  "explanation": "Home win: 18% against a market price of 15% (+3.3%).\nExpected goals IF Brommapojkarna 1.45 – 1.78 Djurgardens IF.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 32% (uncertainty ±7.3%), so it carries 25% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nDjurgardens IF's attack (1.26× the league rate) takes 1.7 pts from home win.\nDjurgardens IF's defence (0.82× the league rate against) takes 1.7 pts from home win.\nHome advantage in this league (+18% goals at home) adds 1.2 pts to home win.\nIF Brommapojkarna's defence (1.11× the league rate against) takes 0.8 pts from home win.\nTagged Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.3% too long by the market.",
  "fixture": 1494298,
  "home": "IF Brommapojkarna",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-16T17:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Allsvenskan",
  "league_api_id": 113,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.1513,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-113-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "5.72",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.1847,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "upset",
  "tag_reason": "underdog priced 3.3% too long by the market",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#65 #67

Latest entries

670 in total