Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #785: pick published

Hash verified

Djurgården W v Piteå W: Home win 41% @ 2.34 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:16:11.579417+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: b94029b163c03460a51c3451a1302b57ff9461cd10ead20a6412225525b22dcd
Stored hash: 6b52db5b3f6b6802b0431525480cbddf96aab8062be3869bdedf7fd1db3d9931
Recomputed: 6b52db5b3f6b6802b0431525480cbddf96aab8062be3869bdedf7fd1db3d9931

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Piteå W",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": 0.0214,
  "explanation": "Home win: 41% against a market price of 39% (+2.1%).\nExpected goals Djurgården W 1.58 – 1.12 Piteå W.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 49% (uncertainty ±8.9%), so it carries 22% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+17% goals at home) adds 1.3 pts to home win.\nPiteå W's attack (0.84× the league rate) adds 1.0 pts to home win.\nDjurgården W's attack (1.08× the league rate) adds 0.7 pts to home win.\nPiteå W's defence (0.92× the league rate against) takes 0.7 pts from home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+2.1%).",
  "fixture": 1495579,
  "home": "Djurgården W",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Damallsvenskan",
  "league_api_id": 549,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.3888,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-549-v3)",
  "odds_taken": "2.34",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4102,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+2.1%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#784 #786

Latest entries

1514 in total