Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #838: pick published

Hash verified

Racing Club v Independiente: Home win 44% @ 2.10 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:18:14.961367+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: a9f39db44bb54e4491b7aac0ce4591833ec37271ee83d060369a6bffc1a1b15c
Stored hash: aa9b0aa00ef00852e5b30fcbff078eec5e2ba053242bd5917c95b8a5d63d1ac6
Recomputed: aa9b0aa00ef00852e5b30fcbff078eec5e2ba053242bd5917c95b8a5d63d1ac6

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Independiente",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0178,
  "explanation": "Home win: 44% against a market price of 45% (-1.8%).\nExpected goals Racing Club 1.21 – 1.00 Independiente.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 39% (uncertainty ±5.8%), so it carries 29% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+29% goals at home) adds 2.4 pts to home win.\nRacing Club's attack (1.07× the league rate) adds 0.7 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.8%).",
  "fixture": 1493194,
  "home": "Racing Club",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T17:45:00+00:00",
  "league": "Liga Profesional Argentina",
  "league_api_id": 128,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4536,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-128-v4)",
  "odds_taken": "2.10",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4358,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.8%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#837 #839

Latest entries

1514 in total