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Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 Geodis Park
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 86%Books 85% Best odds 1.15 (Pinnacle)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
63%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 63%Bookmakers 64% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 63% against a market price of 64% (-0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls preview

Nashville SC host New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November at 21:30 at Geodis Park.

Our model gives Nashville SC 63%, the draw 20% and New York Red Bulls 17%; the bookmakers' prices said 64%, 20% and 17%.

Nashville SC have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 2 conceded).

New York Red Bulls have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Nashville SC won 2, New York Red Bulls won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 1.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 86%.

More Major League Soccer predictions

All Major League Soccer matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Nashville SC

DWDWW
  • 29 Oct · H v Philadelphia Union 0–0 (xG 0.96–0.84)
  • 24 Oct · A v CF Montreal 2–0 (xG 1.84–0.56)
  • 18 Oct · A v San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 (xG 0.47–0.82)
  • 15 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 4–0 (xG 3.81–0.49)
  • 11 Oct · A v Austin 4–1 (xG 4.94–1.11)

New York Red Bulls

LWLLW
  • 28 Oct · A v New England Revolution 2–3 (xG 2.68–1.97)
  • 24 Oct · H v Inter Miami 2–0 (xG 3.39–0.87)
  • 17 Oct · H v Toronto FC 0–2 (xG 1.01–0.66)
  • 14 Oct · A v DC United 1–2 (xG 3.00–1.26)
  • 10 Oct · H v San Diego 4–1 (xG 4.16–2.12)

Head-to-head

Nashville SC 2 · draws 2 · New York Red Bulls 1, 1.2 goals a game

  • 19 Aug 2026 · New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
  • 15 May 2025 · Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
  • 2 Mar 2025 · New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
  • 15 Jun 2024 · New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
  • 24 Feb 2024 · Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)