Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders prediction

20:30

Sun 1 Nov, 20:30 BC Place

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 85%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

56%

Bookmakers 60%

Draw

22%

Bookmakers 21%

Away win

22%

Bookmakers 19%

Us 56%Bookmakers 60% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 56% against a market price of 60% (-4.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders preview

Vancouver Whitecaps host Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November at 20:30 at BC Place.

Our model gives Vancouver Whitecaps 56%, the draw 22% and Seattle Sounders 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 60%, 21% and 19%.

Vancouver Whitecaps have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Seattle Sounders have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 3, Seattle Sounders won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.

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