Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction

18:00

Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 Estadio Alberto J. Armando

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 81%Books 83% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

44%

Bookmakers 42%

Draw

29%

Bookmakers 30%

Away win

27%

Bookmakers 27%

Us 44%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.6% alone is not enough).

Home win: 44% against a market price of 42% (+1.6%).

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Boca Juniors vs River Plate preview

Boca Juniors host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 November at 18:00 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.

Our model gives Boca Juniors 44%, the draw 29% and River Plate 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 30% and 27%.

Boca Juniors have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 5 conceded).

River Plate have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 3 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Boca Juniors won 2, River Plate won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 81%.

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

All Liga Profesional Argentina matches

Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Huracan vs Tigre Huracan win 43% @ 2.25
Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. win 50% @ 1.85
Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Racing Club vs Aldosivi Racing Club win 56% @ 1.70
Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central Rosario Central win 47% @ 2.00
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Defensa Y Justicia win 42% @ 2.34
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Deportivo Riestra win 40% @ 2.26

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Boca Juniors

WWWLD

25 Oct · A v Independiente 1–0 (xG 1.62–1.56)
21 Oct · A v Vasco DA Gama 3–1 (xG 0.57–0.63)
17 Oct · H v Talleres Cordoba 2–1 (xG 1.04–0.45)
14 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 0–1 (xG 1.55–0.49)
9 Oct · A v Instituto Cordoba 2–2 (xG 1.66–0.72)

River Plate

WWDWL

25 Oct · H v Racing Club 1–0 (xG 1.61–0.48)
18 Oct · A v Belgrano Cordoba 3–0 (xG 1.16–1.08)
14 Oct · A v Sarmiento Junin 1–1 (xG 1.80–1.28)
11 Oct · H v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0 (xG 1.83–0.06)
19 Sep · H v Huracan 1–2 (xG 1.62–0.23)

Head-to-head

Boca Juniors 2 · draws 0 · River Plate 2, 1.8 goals a game

19 Apr 2026 · River Plate 0–1 Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina)
9 Nov 2025 · Boca Juniors 2–0 River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina)
27 Apr 2025 · River Plate 2–1 Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina)
21 Sep 2024 · Boca Juniors 0–1 River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina)