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Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Estadio Eva Peron
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
47%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 47%Bookmakers 48% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 47% against a market price of 48% (-1.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central preview

Sarmiento Junin host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October at 00:15 at Estadio Eva Peron.

Our model gives Sarmiento Junin 24%, the draw 29% and Rosario Central 47%; the bookmakers' prices said 23%, 29% and 48%.

Sarmiento Junin have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Rosario Central have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 3 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Sarmiento Junin won 0, Rosario Central won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 78%.

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

All Liga Profesional Argentina matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Sarmiento Junin

LDDWL
  • 23 Oct · A v Gimnasia L.P. 0–2 (xG 0.88–1.02)
  • 19 Oct · H v Barracas Central 1–1 (xG 0.81–2.76)
  • 14 Oct · H v River Plate 1–1 (xG 1.28–1.80)
  • 9 Oct · A v Aldosivi 3–1 (xG 1.71–0.79)
  • 19 Sep · A v Racing Club 1–3

Rosario Central

WWWDW
  • 25 Oct · H v Huracan 2–0 (xG 2.15–0.52)
  • 17 Oct · A v Atletico Tucuman 3–2 (xG 0.76–1.42)
  • 11 Oct · H v Independ. Rivadavia 5–0 (xG 3.30–0.36)
  • 6 Oct · A v Banfield 1–1 (xG 0.91–1.58)
  • 20 Sep · H v Argentinos JRS 1–0 (xG 0.78–0.40)

Head-to-head

Sarmiento Junin 0 · draws 0 · Rosario Central 4, 2.8 goals a game

  • 19 Apr 2026 · Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 24 Oct 2025 · Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 23 Feb 2025 · Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 20 Jul 2024 · Rosario Central 4–2 Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina)