Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 78%Books 79% Best odds 1.25 (Bet365)
Match result: no bet
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 42% against a market price of 42% (+0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themDefensa Y Justicia vs Independiente preview
Defensa Y Justicia host Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October at 17:45 at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Our model gives Defensa Y Justicia 42%, the draw 30% and Independiente 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 30% and 28%.
Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 4 conceded).
Independiente have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 7 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Defensa Y Justicia won 0, Independiente won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 78%.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches- Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Huracan vs Tigre Huracan win 43% @ 2.25
- Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. win 50% @ 1.85
- Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Racing Club vs Aldosivi Racing Club win 57% @ 1.65
- Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central Rosario Central win 47% @ 2.00
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Deportivo Riestra win 42% @ 2.19
- Sat 31 Oct, 22:15 Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo Velez Sarsfield win 49% @ 2.00
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDefensa Y Justicia
- 24 Oct · A v Talleres Cordoba 2–1 (xG 0.84–0.85)
- 16 Oct · H v Instituto Cordoba 0–1 (xG 1.71–0.36)
- 10 Oct · A v Union Santa Fe 2–0 (xG 2.09–2.38)
- 3 Oct · H v San Lorenzo 3–0 (xG 2.79–0.64)
- 18 Sep · A v Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–2 (xG 1.99–1.61)
Independiente
- 25 Oct · H v Boca Juniors 0–1 (xG 1.56–1.62)
- 18 Oct · A v Racing Club 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.27)
- 12 Oct · A v Talleres Cordoba 0–0 (xG 0.78–0.33)
- 2 Oct · H v Instituto Cordoba 1–4 (xG 0.44–1.56)
- 19 Sep · A v Union Santa Fe 2–1 (xG 0.34–1.33)
Head-to-head
Defensa Y Justicia 0 · draws 1 · Independiente 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 4 Jun 2024 · Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina)