Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction

21:30

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 79%Books 80% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

47%

Bookmakers 49%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Away win

24%

Bookmakers 23%

Us 47%Bookmakers 49% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 47% against a market price of 49% (-1.5%).

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Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe preview

Newells Old Boys host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 November at 21:30 at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

Our model gives Newells Old Boys 47%, the draw 28% and Union Santa Fe 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 49%, 29% and 23%.

Newells Old Boys have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Union Santa Fe have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Newells Old Boys won 1, Union Santa Fe won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 79%.

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

All Liga Profesional Argentina matches

Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Huracan vs Tigre Huracan win 43% @ 2.25
Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. win 50% @ 1.85
Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Racing Club vs Aldosivi Racing Club win 56% @ 1.70
Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central Rosario Central win 47% @ 2.00
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Defensa Y Justicia win 42% @ 2.34
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Deportivo Riestra win 40% @ 2.26

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Newells Old Boys

DWLDW

24 Oct · A v San Lorenzo 0–0 (xG 1.03–0.57)
19 Oct · H v Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 (xG 1.96–0.40)
12 Oct · A v Gimnasia M. 0–1 (xG 2.38–0.37)
3 Oct · H v Lanus 0–0 (xG 0.61–0.67)
20 Sep · A v Platense 1–0 (xG 0.91–0.24)

Union Santa Fe

WDLLL

26 Oct · H v Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 (xG 2.01–0.55)
20 Oct · A v Deportivo Riestra 1–1 (xG 0.74–0.88)
10 Oct · H v Defensa Y Justicia 0–2 (xG 2.38–2.09)
3 Oct · A v Boca Juniors 0–3
19 Sep · H v Independiente 1–2 (xG 1.33–0.34)

Head-to-head

Newells Old Boys 1 · draws 1 · Union Santa Fe 2, 2.5 goals a game

17 Apr 2026 · Union Santa Fe 2–3 Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina)
1 Nov 2025 · Newells Old Boys 0–1 Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina)
19 Apr 2025 · Union Santa Fe 1–1 Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina)
2 Nov 2024 · Union Santa Fe 2–0 Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina)