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Huachipato vs D. La Serena prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 79%Books 81% Best odds 1.21 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
40%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 40%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 40% against a market price of 42% (-1.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Huachipato vs D. La Serena preview

Huachipato host D. La Serena in the Primera División on Sunday 1 November at 15:00 at Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero.

Our model gives Huachipato 40%, the draw 25% and D. La Serena 36%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 26% and 32%.

Huachipato have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded).

D. La Serena have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Huachipato won 2, D. La Serena won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.

More Primera División predictions

All Primera División matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Huachipato

DWWDL
  • 23 Oct · A v A. Italiano 1–1 (xG 0.93–1.17)
  • 10 Oct · H v O'Higgins 2–0 (xG 1.14–0.82)
  • 2 Oct · A v Universidad de Concepcion 2–0
  • 6 Sep · H v Colo Colo 0–0
  • 22 Aug · H v Deportes Limache 1–3

D. La Serena

WLLWW
  • 24 Oct · H v Concepción 3–1 (xG 2.76–0.18)
  • 11 Oct · A v Everton de Vina 2–3 (xG 1.20–2.27)
  • 13 Sep · H v Universidad de Chile 0–3
  • 6 Sep · H v Nublense 2–1
  • 31 Aug · A v Union La Calera 1–0

Head-to-head

Huachipato 2 · draws 1 · D. La Serena 0, 2.0 goals a game

  • 26 Apr 2026 · D. La Serena 0–0 Huachipato (Primera División)
  • 24 Aug 2025 · D. La Serena 0–2 Huachipato (Primera División)
  • 30 Mar 2025 · Huachipato 3–1 D. La Serena (Primera División)