U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction

20:15

Sun 1 Nov, 20:15 Claro Arena

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 78%Books 79% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

39%

Bookmakers 39%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

36%

Bookmakers 34%

Us 39%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.6%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

Home win: 39% against a market price of 39% (+0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile preview

U. Catolica host Universidad de Chile in the Primera División on Sunday 1 November at 20:15 at Claro Arena.

Our model gives U. Catolica 39%, the draw 25% and Universidad de Chile 36%; the bookmakers' prices said 39%, 27% and 34%.

U. Catolica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Universidad de Chile have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (18 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings U. Catolica won 2, Universidad de Chile won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.

More Primera División predictions

All Primera División matches

Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion Colo Colo win 74% @ 1.30
Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera Coquimbo Unido win 58% @ 1.65
Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 O'Higgins vs Nublense O'Higgins win 46% @ 2.10
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Huachipato vs D. La Serena Huachipato win 40% @ 2.34
Sun 1 Nov, 17:15 Cobresal vs Everton de Vina Everton de Vina win 41% @ 2.35

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

U. Catolica

DLWWW

28 Oct · H v A. Italiano 1–1 (xG 0.86–1.91)
25 Oct · A v Union La Calera 1–3 (xG 1.83–0.95)
12 Sep · A v Palestino 3–2
5 Sep · A v Everton de Vina 1–0
1 Sep · H v O'Higgins 3–2 (xG 2.02–1.39)

Universidad de Chile

WWWWL

26 Oct · H v Everton de Vina 4–1 (xG 3.25–1.23)
12 Oct · H v Nublense 6–0 (xG 2.69–0.56)
13 Sep · A v D. La Serena 3–0
6 Sep · H v Coquimbo Unido 4–2
30 Aug · A v Universidad de Concepcion 1–2

Head-to-head

U. Catolica 2 · draws 0 · Universidad de Chile 3, 1.8 goals a game

25 Apr 2026 · Universidad de Chile 1–0 U. Catolica (Primera División)
26 Oct 2025 · U. Catolica 1–0 Universidad de Chile (Primera División)
3 May 2025 · Universidad de Chile 1–0 U. Catolica (Primera División)
19 Oct 2024 · U. Catolica 1–2 Universidad de Chile (Primera División)
18 May 2024 · Universidad de Chile 1–2 U. Catolica (Primera División)