Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction

19:00

Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Estadio Santa Cruz

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 77%Books 77% Best odds 1.27 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

41%

Bookmakers 36%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Away win

31%

Bookmakers 35%

Us 41%Bookmakers 36% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +5.1% alone is not enough).

Home win: 41% against a market price of 36% (+5.1%).

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Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife preview

Botafogo SP host Sport Recife in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 19:00 at Estadio Santa Cruz.

Our model gives Botafogo SP 41%, the draw 28% and Sport Recife 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 36%, 29% and 35%.

Botafogo SP have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Sport Recife have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Botafogo SP won 0, Sport Recife won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 77%.

More Serie B predictions

All Serie B matches

Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 Criciuma vs Ponte Preta Criciuma win 87% @ 1.08
Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 Vila Nova vs Juventude Vila Nova win 41% @ 2.42
Sat 31 Oct, 22:30 Nautico Recife vs Avai Nautico Recife win 44% @ 2.07

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Botafogo SP

WWWWL

24 Oct · A v Avai 2–0 (xG 0.76–1.66)
18 Oct · A v CRB 1–0 (xG 1.79–1.20)
13 Oct · H v Ceara 1–0 (xG 0.86–0.50)
7 Oct · A v Operario-PR 2–1 (xG 0.68–0.56)
3 Oct · H v Vila Nova 0–1 (xG 1.14–0.22)

Sport Recife

WLDWW

24 Oct · H v Criciuma 2–1 (xG 1.51–1.56)
16 Oct · H v Fortaleza EC 0–2 (xG 0.78–0.70)
11 Oct · A v Atletico Goianiense 1–1 (xG 1.84–2.03)
6 Oct · H v São Bernardo 2–1 (xG 1.63–1.99)
1 Oct · A v Athletic Club 2–1 (xG 0.59–1.74)

Head-to-head

Botafogo SP 0 · draws 2 · Sport Recife 1, 4.0 goals a game

10 Jul 2026 · Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SP (Serie B)
21 Oct 2024 · Sport Recife 3–1 Botafogo SP (Serie B)
29 Jun 2024 · Botafogo SP 1–1 Sport Recife (Serie B)