Nautico Recife vs Avai prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 22:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.31 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
44%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 44%Bookmakers 47%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 47% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Nautico Recife vs Avai preview
Nautico Recife host Avai in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 22:30.
Our model gives Nautico Recife 44%, the draw 27% and Avai 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 47%, 28% and 25%.
Nautico Recife have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 9 conceded).
Avai have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 4 conceded).
In their last 1 meeting Nautico Recife won 0, Avai won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 75%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 Criciuma vs Ponte Preta Criciuma win 87% @ 1.08
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife Botafogo SP win 41% @ 2.65
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 Vila Nova vs Juventude Vila Nova win 41% @ 2.42
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNautico Recife
LDLLD
- 26 Oct · A v Juventude 0–4 (xG 1.82–3.31)
- 19 Oct · A v Goias 0–0 (xG 1.34–1.91)
- 11 Oct · H v Vila Nova 0–2 (xG 0.60–0.70)
- 8 Oct · H v Novorizontino 0–2 (xG 0.18–1.62)
- 3 Oct · A v Fortaleza EC 1–1
Avai
LDWWL
- 24 Oct · H v Botafogo SP 0–2 (xG 1.66–0.76)
- 18 Oct · H v Athletic Club 0–0 (xG 1.06–0.11)
- 11 Oct · A v Cuiaba 1–0 (xG 0.47–1.66)
- 7 Oct · H v Londrina 2–1 (xG 0.88–0.63)
- 3 Oct · H v Ceara 0–1 (xG 1.85–1.58)
Head-to-head
Nautico Recife 0 · draws 0 · Avai 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 12 Jul 2026 · Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife (Serie B)