AC Milan vs Inter prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBankerUs 83%Books 81% Beats the odds Best odds 1.21 (Betano)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersUs 72%Books 73% Best odds 1.32 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
49%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 49%Bookmakers 47%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.5% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 49% against a market price of 47% (+1.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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AC Milan vs Inter preview
AC Milan host Inter in the Serie A on Saturday 31 October at 19:45.
Our model gives AC Milan 27%, the draw 24% and Inter 49%; the bookmakers' prices said 27%, 25% and 47%.
AC Milan have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 9 conceded).
Inter have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 6 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings AC Milan won 3, Inter won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More Serie A predictions
All Serie A matches- Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 Frosinone vs Lecce Frosinone win 60% @ 1.72
- Thu 29 Oct, 19:45 Fiorentina vs Atalanta Fiorentina win 39% @ 2.30
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Bologna vs Monza Bologna win 52% @ 1.81
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Udinese vs AS Roma AS Roma win 64% @ 1.63
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAC Milan
LWLWW
- 28 Oct · H v Bologna 2–4 (xG 1.75–1.89)
- 25 Oct · A v Udinese 2–0 (xG 3.15–0.46)
- 22 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 0.17–3.22)
- 18 Oct · H v Atalanta 3–2 (xG 2.49–1.71)
- 15 Oct · A v Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 (xG 3.83–0.86)
Inter
WWWWL
- 28 Oct · A v Venezia 2–0 (xG 2.39–1.67)
- 25 Oct · H v Fiorentina 2–1 (xG 2.94–0.25)
- 21 Oct · H v Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 (xG 1.09–0.61)
- 17 Oct · A v Bologna 3–1 (xG 3.22–1.09)
- 13 Oct · H v Club Brugge KV 3–4 (xG 4.33–4.29)
Head-to-head
AC Milan 3 · draws 1 · Inter 0, 1.8 goals a game
- 8 Mar 2026 · AC Milan 1–0 Inter (Serie A)
- 23 Nov 2025 · Inter 0–1 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 2 Feb 2025 · AC Milan 1–1 Inter (Serie A)
- 22 Sep 2024 · Inter 1–2 AC Milan (Serie A)