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Bologna vs Monza prediction

14:00
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00
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Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBanker
    Us 78%Books 76% Beats the odds Best odds 1.28 (Betano)

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 corners
    Us 70%Books 70% Best odds 1.37 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
52%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 52%Bookmakers 55% Odds too short Uncertainty ±4.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 52% against a market price of 55% (-3.2%).

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Bologna vs Monza preview

Bologna host Monza in the Serie A on Saturday 31 October at 14:00.

Our model gives Bologna 52%, the draw 24% and Monza 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 25% and 20%.

Bologna have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 7 conceded).

Monza have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Bologna won 2, Monza won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.

More Serie A predictions

All Serie A matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Bologna

WWLWD
  • 28 Oct · A v AC Milan 4–2 (xG 1.89–1.75)
  • 24 Oct · A v Cagliari 2–0 (xG 1.64–0.44)
  • 17 Oct · H v Inter 1–3 (xG 1.09–3.22)
  • 11 Oct · A v Lecce 2–1 (xG 2.00–1.49)
  • 19 Sep · H v Torino 1–1 (xG 0.92–1.14)

Monza

LLWLW
  • 28 Oct · H v Napoli 1–4 (xG 0.81–1.43)
  • 23 Oct · A v Torino 2–3 (xG 0.68–1.40)
  • 19 Oct · H v Cagliari 4–0 (xG 2.10–2.11)
  • 11 Oct · A v Lazio 1–3 (xG 1.84–1.84)
  • 18 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–1 (xG 1.51–1.47)

Head-to-head

Bologna 2 · draws 0 · Monza 0, 3.5 goals a game

  • 18 Jan 2025 · Bologna 3–1 Monza (Serie A)
  • 22 Sep 2024 · Monza 1–2 Bologna (Serie A)