Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

17:45

Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Abe Lenstra Stadion

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 87%Books 88% Best odds 1.13 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

45%

Bookmakers 46%

Draw

24%

Bookmakers 23%

Away win

31%

Bookmakers 31%

Us 45%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 45% against a market price of 46% (-1.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October at 17:45 at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Our model gives Heerenveen 45%, the draw 24% and NEC Nijmegen 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 23% and 31%.

Heerenveen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 4 conceded).

NEC Nijmegen have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Heerenveen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 87%.

More Eredivisie predictions

All Eredivisie matches

Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 81% @ 1.18
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II PSV Eindhoven win 89% @ 1.09
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 2.91

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Heerenveen

WWLWD

24 Oct · A v ADO Den Haag 3–2 (xG 2.50–2.90)
16 Oct · H v Excelsior 4–0 (xG 2.33–0.73)
9 Oct · A v PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (xG 1.57–2.38)
19 Sep · A v Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (xG 1.80–0.67)
13 Sep · H v Telstar 0–0 (xG 1.54–0.71)

NEC Nijmegen

DWDDD

25 Oct · H v Groningen 2–2 (xG 1.88–1.51)
22 Oct · A v Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 (xG 1.41–2.67)
18 Oct · H v Fortuna Sittard 2–2 (xG 3.06–0.45)
15 Oct · H v Levski Sofia 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.28)
10 Oct · A v Ajax 1–1 (xG 1.05–1.78)

Head-to-head

Heerenveen 2 · draws 1 · NEC Nijmegen 1, 3.3 goals a game

22 Mar 2026 · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen (Eredivisie)
21 Sep 2025 · Heerenveen 3–2 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
27 Apr 2025 · Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
19 Oct 2024 · NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Heerenveen (Eredivisie)