PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

17:45

Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Philips Stadion

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 94%Books 95% Best odds 1.04 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

89%

Bookmakers 91%

Draw

Bookmakers 6%

Away win

Bookmakers 3%

Us 89%Bookmakers 91% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 89% against a market price of 91% (-1.3%).

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PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II preview

PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October at 17:45 at Philips Stadion.

Our model gives PSV Eindhoven 89%, the draw 7% and Willem II 4%; the bookmakers' prices said 91%, 6% and 3%.

PSV Eindhoven have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Willem II have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 18 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings PSV Eindhoven won 1, Willem II won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 94%.

More Eredivisie predictions

All Eredivisie matches

Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 81% @ 1.18
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen win 45% @ 2.13
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 2.91

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

PSV Eindhoven

DWLLW

25 Oct · H v Feyenoord 1–1 (xG 1.95–1.23)
20 Oct · A v FC Porto 1–0 (xG 1.69–1.48)
17 Oct · A v ADO Den Haag 1–2 (xG 1.07–1.43)
13 Oct · A v RB Leipzig 0–1 (xG 1.40–2.10)
9 Oct · H v Heerenveen 2–0 (xG 2.38–1.57)

Willem II

LLLLL

24 Oct · H v Cambuur 1–6 (xG 1.08–1.94)
17 Oct · A v Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 (xG 1.24–3.46)
11 Oct · A v Utrecht 1–3 (xG 0.61–1.30)
19 Sep · H v Fortuna Sittard 0–1 (xG 1.01–1.31)
15 Sep · A v Ajax 1–5 (xG 1.58–3.79)

Head-to-head

PSV Eindhoven 1 · draws 1 · Willem II 0, 2.0 goals a game

8 Feb 2025 · PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Willem II (Eredivisie)
28 Sep 2024 · Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie)