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Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 City Light Stadium
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Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBanker
    Us 76%Books 73% Beats the odds Best odds 1.32 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
28%
Bookmakers 26%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
46%
Bookmakers 46%
Us 46%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 46% against a market price of 46% (-0.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo preview

Fagiano Okayama host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Saturday 31 October at 05:00 at City Light Stadium.

Our model gives Fagiano Okayama 28%, the draw 27% and FC Tokyo 46%; the bookmakers' prices said 26%, 27% and 46%.

Fagiano Okayama have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 9 conceded).

FC Tokyo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (14 scored, 0 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Fagiano Okayama won 1, FC Tokyo won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.

More J1 League predictions

All J1 League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Fagiano Okayama

LWLLL
  • 25 Oct · A v Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 (xG 1.06–0.65)
  • 21 Oct · H v Mito Hollyhock 2–0 (xG 1.11–0.31)
  • 18 Oct · H v Vissel Kobe 0–3 (xG 1.20–1.66)
  • 10 Oct · A v Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 (xG 1.21–1.34)
  • 19 Sep · H v Kyoto Sanga 1–2

FC Tokyo

WDWWW
  • 25 Oct · H v Mito Hollyhock 6–0 (xG 2.59–0.80)
  • 21 Oct · H v Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 (xG 1.69–1.08)
  • 17 Oct · A v Tokyo Verdy 4–0 (xG 2.54–0.17)
  • 10 Oct · H v Urawa 3–0 (xG 1.76–0.24)
  • 19 Sep · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–0 (xG 0.85–0.84)

Head-to-head

Fagiano Okayama 1 · draws 0 · FC Tokyo 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 25 Oct 2025 · FC Tokyo 3–1 Fagiano Okayama (J1 League)
  • 6 Apr 2025 · Fagiano Okayama 1–0 FC Tokyo (J1 League)