Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

06:00

Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 Noevir Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 79% Best odds 1.23 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

53%

Bookmakers 50%

Draw

24%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

23%

Bookmakers 25%

Us 53%Bookmakers 50% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.4% alone is not enough).

Home win: 53% against a market price of 50% (+3.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus preview

Vissel Kobe host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Saturday 31 October at 06:00 at Noevir Stadium.

Our model gives Vissel Kobe 53%, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 50%, 26% and 25%.

Vissel Kobe have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Nagoya Grampus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Vissel Kobe won 3, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

More J1 League predictions

All J1 League matches

Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse Kyoto Sanga win 43% @ 2.70
Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 65% @ 1.48
Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo FC Tokyo win 46% @ 2.15
Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka Kashima win 56% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 07:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Kashiwa Reysol win 49% @ 2.12

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Vissel Kobe

WDLWW

27 Oct · A v Daejeon Citizen 1–0 (xG 0.52–0.94)
24 Oct · H v Machida Zelvia 0–0 (xG 1.32–2.04)
21 Oct · A v Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 (xG 1.38–2.09)
18 Oct · A v Fagiano Okayama 3–0 (xG 1.66–1.20)
14 Oct · H v Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 (xG 1.26–1.77)

Nagoya Grampus

DDWWL

25 Oct · H v Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 (xG 2.41–1.47)
21 Oct · H v Cerezo Osaka 1–1 (xG 1.09–0.68)
17 Oct · A v Kashiwa Reysol 3–1 (xG 1.07–1.03)
11 Oct · A v Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 (xG 1.12–1.33)
19 Sep · A v FC Tokyo 0–1 (xG 0.84–0.85)

Head-to-head

Vissel Kobe 3 · draws 1 · Nagoya Grampus 0, 3.8 goals a game

11 Apr 2026 · Vissel Kobe 3–2 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League)
14 Mar 2026 · Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Vissel Kobe (J1 League)
15 Jun 2025 · Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League)
22 Feb 2025 · Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe (J1 League)