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Falkirk vs Celtic prediction

13:00
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Falkirk Stadium
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
18%
Bookmakers 15%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
62%
Bookmakers 67%
Us 62%Bookmakers 67% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-8.1% expected per unit).

  • Away win: 62% against a market price of 67% (-4.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick

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Falkirk vs Celtic preview

Falkirk host Celtic in the Premiership on Sunday 1 November at 13:00 at Falkirk Stadium.

Our model gives Falkirk 18%, the draw 20% and Celtic 62%; the bookmakers' prices said 15%, 18% and 67%.

Falkirk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Celtic have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (13 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Falkirk won 0, Celtic won 6 and 0 were drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.

More Premiership predictions

All Premiership matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Falkirk

WWWLD
  • 28 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–0 (xG 1.08–1.72)
  • 24 Oct · H v Kilmarnock 3–0 (xG 2.08–1.89)
  • 17 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1 (xG 0.82–1.42)
  • 10 Oct · H v Dundee 1–2 (xG 1.92–1.43)
  • 19 Sep · A v ST Johnstone 1–1 (xG 0.90–0.68)

Celtic

DWLWL
  • 28 Oct · H v Dundee Utd 2–2 (xG 1.63–0.93)
  • 25 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1 (xG 1.16–1.24)
  • 22 Oct · H v Celta Vigo 1–2 (xG 0.59–1.27)
  • 18 Oct · H v Heart Of Midlothian 7–1 (xG 4.24–1.27)
  • 15 Oct · A v Benfica 1–4 (xG 1.38–3.22)

Head-to-head

Falkirk 0 · draws 0 · Celtic 6, 3.2 goals a game

  • 29 Aug 2026 · Celtic 2–1 Falkirk (Premiership)
  • 25 Apr 2026 · Celtic 3–1 Falkirk (Premiership)
  • 1 Feb 2026 · Celtic 2–0 Falkirk (Premiership)
  • 14 Jan 2026 · Falkirk 0–1 Celtic (Premiership)
  • 29 Oct 2025 · Celtic 4–0 Falkirk (Premiership)
  • 15 Aug 2025 · Celtic 4–1 Falkirk (League Cup)