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Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Stadionul Otelul
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 74%Books 76% Best odds 1.29 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
46%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 46%Bookmakers 43% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.2% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 46% against a market price of 43% (+3.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe preview

Oţelul host Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in the Liga I on Sunday 1 November at 13:00 at Stadionul Otelul.

Our model gives Oţelul 46%, the draw 26% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 43%, 28% and 29%.

Oţelul have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 12 conceded).

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Oţelul won 2, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.3 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 74%.

More Liga I predictions

All Liga I matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Oţelul

LDLLL
  • 25 Oct · A v Farul Constanta 3–4 (xG 1.28–1.23)
  • 16 Oct · H v Csikszereda 1–1 (xG 2.87–1.43)
  • 10 Oct · A v FCSB 0–1 (xG 0.43–2.08)
  • 21 Sep · H v Corvinul Hunedoara 2–3 (xG 2.02–2.31)
  • 14 Sep · A v Universitatea Cluj 0–3 (xG 0.26–1.77)

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

LDLLW
  • 26 Oct · H v Universitatea Craiova 0–5
  • 17 Oct · A v Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 (xG 1.29–1.13)
  • 9 Oct · H v Dinamo Bucuresti 0–2 (xG 0.90–2.58)
  • 18 Sep · A v Uta Arad 0–1
  • 12 Sep · H v CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 (xG 2.40–1.80)

Head-to-head

Oţelul 2 · draws 0 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1, 2.3 goals a game

  • 25 Apr 2025 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–3 Oţelul (Liga I)
  • 26 Jan 2025 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 Oţelul (Liga I)
  • 30 Aug 2024 · Oţelul 2–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I)