Burgos vs Castellón prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 17:30
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 76%Books 70% Beats the odds Best odds 1.40 (1xBet)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersUs 67%Books 67% Best odds 1.40 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
29%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 46%
Us 43%Bookmakers 46%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 43% against a market price of 46% (-3.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Burgos vs Castellón preview
Burgos host Castellón in the Segunda División on Sunday 1 November at 17:30.
Our model gives Burgos 29%, the draw 28% and Castellón 43%; the bookmakers' prices said 27%, 27% and 46%.
Burgos have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).
Castellón have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 2 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Burgos won 0, Castellón won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 2.2 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.
More Segunda División predictions
All Segunda División matches- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Real Sociedad II vs Girona Girona win 46% @ 2.07
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Eibar vs Almeria Eibar win 40% @ 2.48
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba Cordoba win 42% @ 2.06
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Albacete vs Sabadell Albacete win 37% @ 2.75
- Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Eldense vs Granada CF Eldense win 42% @ 2.31
- Sun 1 Nov, 15:15 AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon win 37% @ 2.72
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBurgos
WWLLW
- 26 Oct · A v FC Andorra 3–2 (xG 1.56–1.78)
- 18 Oct · H v Sabadell 1–0 (xG 2.22–0.51)
- 12 Oct · H v Granada CF 0–1 (xG 1.14–2.32)
- 3 Oct · A v Almeria 1–2 (xG 1.14–2.19)
- 27 Sep · H v Eldense 1–0 (xG 0.80–0.53)
Castellón
WWLDW
- 25 Oct · H v Sporting Gijon 4–0 (xG 1.88–0.63)
- 17 Oct · A v Las Palmas 3–0 (xG 2.35–0.31)
- 11 Oct · A v FC Andorra 0–1 (xG 0.60–3.36)
- 4 Oct · H v AD Ceuta FC 1–1 (xG 0.83–2.47)
- 28 Sep · A v Leganes 2–0
Head-to-head
Burgos 0 · draws 1 · Castellón 3, 2.3 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Castellón 3–1 Burgos (Segunda División)
- 10 Nov 2025 · Burgos 0–0 Castellón (Segunda División)
- 1 Mar 2025 · Castellón 2–1 Burgos (Segunda División)
- 1 Sep 2024 · Burgos 0–2 Castellón (Segunda División)