FC Porto vs Estoril prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 20:30
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValueUs 62%Books 58% Beats the odds Best odds 1.74 (1xBet)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 81%Books 84% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
77%
Bookmakers 79%
Draw
15%
Bookmakers 14%
Away win
8%
Bookmakers 7%
Us 77%Bookmakers 79%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 77% against a market price of 79% (-2.2%).
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FC Porto vs Estoril preview
FC Porto host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 31 October at 20:30.
Our model gives FC Porto 77%, the draw 15% and Estoril 8%; the bookmakers' prices said 79%, 14% and 7%.
FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 6 conceded).
Estoril have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 9 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings FC Porto won 4, Estoril won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 62%.
More Primeira Liga predictions
All Primeira Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:15 Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Sporting CP win 71% @ 1.33
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Moreirense vs Estrela Estrela win 37% @ 2.48
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Porto
WLLWW
- 24 Oct · A v GIL Vicente 1–0 (xG 1.13–0.43)
- 20 Oct · H v PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (xG 1.48–1.69)
- 14 Oct · A v Real Betis 2–3 (xG 1.02–1.76)
- 10 Oct · A v Maritimo 2–1 (xG 2.13–0.19)
- 20 Sep · H v Benfica 3–1 (xG 1.30–0.84)
Estoril
LDLLL
- 25 Oct · H v Moreirense 1–3 (xG 2.09–1.39)
- 18 Oct · A v Salgueiros 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Academico Viseu 1–2 (xG 1.36–0.73)
- 20 Sep · H v Casa Pia 1–2 (xG 0.95–2.17)
- 14 Sep · A v SC Braga 0–1 (xG 0.75–1.79)
Head-to-head
FC Porto 4 · draws 0 · Estoril 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 12 Apr 2026 · Estoril 1–3 FC Porto (Primeira Liga)
- 30 Nov 2025 · FC Porto 1–0 Estoril (Primeira Liga)
- 30 Mar 2025 · Estoril 1–2 FC Porto (Primeira Liga)
- 3 Nov 2024 · FC Porto 4–0 Estoril (Primeira Liga)