Moreirense vs Estrela prediction
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 76%Books 73% Beats the odds Best odds 1.33 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 39% (-2.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themMoreirense vs Estrela preview
Moreirense host Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 31 October at 15:30 at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Our model gives Moreirense 35%, the draw 29% and Estrela 37%; the bookmakers' prices said 32%, 28% and 39%.
Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).
Estrela have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 9 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Moreirense won 1, Estrela won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.
More Primeira Liga predictions
All Primeira Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:15 Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Sporting CP win 71% @ 1.33
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 FC Porto vs Estoril FC Porto win 77% @ 1.26
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMoreirense
- 25 Oct · A v Estoril 3–1 (xG 1.39–2.09)
- 17 Oct · A v AVS 0–1
- 9 Oct · H v GIL Vicente 0–1 (xG 1.09–1.49)
- 20 Sep · A v Vitória SC 1–1 (xG 0.52–1.07)
- 14 Sep · H v Maritimo 3–1 (xG 2.00–0.76)
Estrela
- 24 Oct · H v Casa Pia 0–2 (xG 1.72–0.81)
- 17 Oct · A v Fazendense 2–1
- 11 Oct · A v Arouca 0–1 (xG 1.45–0.74)
- 20 Sep · H v Academico Viseu 0–2 (xG 0.84–2.54)
- 14 Sep · A v Rio Ave 3–3 (xG 1.87–1.23)
Head-to-head
Moreirense 1 · draws 2 · Estrela 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Moreirense 3–2 Estrela (Primeira Liga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · Estrela 0–0 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Moreirense 1–1 Estrela (Primeira Liga)
- 28 Sep 2024 · Estrela 2–1 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)