Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense prediction

Lusitânia Lourosa

15:30

Farense

Sun 1 Nov, 15:30

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found

Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersBanker

Us 68%Books 63% Beats the odds Best odds 1.52 (Betano)

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

40%

Bookmakers 35%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 30%

Away win

33%

Bookmakers 35%

Us 40%Bookmakers 35% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +5.0% alone is not enough).

Home win: 40% against a market price of 35% (+5.0%).

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Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense preview

Lusitânia Lourosa host Farense in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 1 November at 15:30.

Our model gives Lusitânia Lourosa 40%, the draw 27% and Farense 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 35%, 30% and 35%.

Lusitânia Lourosa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 6 conceded).

Farense have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Lusitânia Lourosa won 0, Farense won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 10.5 corners (Corners O/U 10.5) at 68%.

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