Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersBankerUs 71%Books 64% Beats the odds Best odds 1.52 (Betano)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Betfair)
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 46%Bookmakers 51%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 51% (-5.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 preview
Tondela host Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 1 November at 14:00.
Our model gives Tondela 46%, the draw 27% and Felgueiras 1932 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 51%, 27% and 21%.
Tondela have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 3 conceded).
Felgueiras 1932 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Tondela won 0, Felgueiras 1932 won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 10.5 corners (Corners O/U 10.5) at 71%.
More Segunda Liga predictions
All Segunda Liga matches- Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Amarante vs FC Porto B Amarante win 45% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Portimonense vs Torreense Torreense win 40% @ 2.59
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Leixoes vs Sporting CP B Leixoes win 44% @ 2.05
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Benfica B vs Chaves Benfica B win 41% @ 2.39
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 União de Leiria vs AVS União de Leiria win 53% @ 1.65
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Vizela vs Academica Academica win 37% @ 3.24
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsTondela
LWWWW
- 25 Oct · A v AVS 1–2
- 18 Oct · H v Alverca 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Torreense 1–0
- 19 Sep · A v Imortal Albufeira 5–1
- 12 Sep · A v Portimonense 2–0
Felgueiras 1932
DWLWL
- 25 Oct · H v Lusitânia Lourosa 2–2
- 18 Oct · H v Fafe 1–0
- 12 Oct · A v Benfica B 0–1
- 19 Sep · A v Naval 1893 2–0
- 12 Sep · H v Penafiel 1–2
Head-to-head
Tondela 0 · draws 1 · Felgueiras 1932 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 8 Feb 2025 · Felgueiras 1932 1–0 Tondela (Segunda Liga)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Tondela 1–1 Felgueiras 1932 (Segunda Liga)