Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction

10:00

Sat 31 Oct, 10:00 Central Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 81%Books 80% Best odds 1.21 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

36%

Bookmakers 37%

Draw

31%

Bookmakers 31%

Away win

33%

Bookmakers 32%

Us 36%Bookmakers 37% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 36% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 36% against a market price of 37% (-1.3%).

The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview

Chelyabinsk host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League on Saturday 31 October at 10:00 at Central Stadium.

Our model gives Chelyabinsk 36%, the draw 31% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 37%, 31% and 32%.

Chelyabinsk have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Shinnik Yaroslavl have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Chelyabinsk won 0, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 81%.

More First League predictions

All First League matches

Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Veles vs Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma win 37% @ 2.52
Fri 30 Oct, 17:15 Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula Nizhny Novgorod win 67% @ 1.49
Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Leningradets vs Enisey Enisey win 37% @ 2.45
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk win 36% @ 2.63
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik Volga Ulyanovsk win 58% @ 1.63

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Chelyabinsk

LLLWD

25 Oct · H v Ural 1–3
18 Oct · A v Tekstilshchik 1–2
13 Oct · A v Spartak Kostroma 0–1
9 Oct · A v FK Neftekhimik 4–2
26 Sep · H v Enisey 1–1

Shinnik Yaroslavl

WDLWD

26 Oct · H v Spartak Kostroma 2–1
18 Oct · A v Veles 1–1
14 Oct · A v Nizhny Novgorod 0–4
10 Oct · H v Tekstilshchik 2–0
27 Sep · H v Ska-khabarovsk 0–0

Head-to-head

Chelyabinsk 0 · draws 1 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1, 2.5 goals a game

16 May 2026 · Chelyabinsk 2–2 Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League)
1 Nov 2025 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Chelyabinsk (First League)