Melbourne City vs Sydney prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 06:00
AAMI Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 74%Books 75% Best odds 1.31 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
43%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
30%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 43%Bookmakers 46%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 43% against a market price of 46% (-3.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Melbourne City vs Sydney preview
Melbourne City host Sydney in the A-League on Saturday 31 October at 06:00 at AAMI Park.
Our model gives Melbourne City 43%, the draw 27% and Sydney 30%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 27% and 27%.
Melbourne City have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 9 conceded).
Sydney have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Melbourne City won 3, Sydney won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.
More A-League predictions
All A-League matches- Fri 30 Oct, 09:00 Brisbane Roar vs Auckland Auckland win 39% @ 2.55
- Sat 31 Oct, 04:00 Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Newcastle Jets win 45% @ 2.02
- Sat 31 Oct, 08:40 Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers Macarthur win 38% @ 2.58
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMelbourne City
DLDLW
- 24 Oct · A v Melbourne Victory 1–1
- 17 Oct · A v Auckland 1–3
- 2 May · A v Auckland 1–1 (xG 1.55–1.19)
- 26 Apr · H v Adelaide United 1–2 (xG 0.61–2.29)
- 18 Apr · A v Brisbane Roar 3–2 (xG 2.28–1.09)
Sydney
WDLDD
- 25 Oct · H v Adelaide United 2–1
- 16 Oct · H v Western Sydney Wanderers 0–0 (xG 0.48–1.44)
- 23 May · A v Auckland 0–1 (xG 0.28–0.39)
- 16 May · A v Newcastle Jets 1–1 (xG 2.68–2.10)
- 9 May · H v Newcastle Jets 1–1 (xG 1.12–0.41)
Head-to-head
Melbourne City 3 · draws 1 · Sydney 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 17 Mar 2026 · Sydney 0–1 Melbourne City (A-League)
- 3 Jan 2026 · Melbourne City 0–0 Sydney (A-League)
- 3 May 2025 · Melbourne City 5–1 Sydney (A-League)
- 29 Mar 2025 · Sydney 2–3 Melbourne City (A-League)