Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 15:00
Asyut University Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 86%Books 86% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
31%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
34%
Bookmakers 32%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 35%Bookmakers 41%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±1.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 35% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 35% against a market price of 41% (-5.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC preview
Asyut Petrol host El Gouna FC in the Premier League on Friday 30 October at 15:00 at Asyut University Stadium.
Our model gives Asyut Petrol 31%, the draw 34% and El Gouna FC 35%; the bookmakers' prices said 27%, 32% and 41%.
Asyut Petrol have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 6 conceded).
El Gouna FC have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 8 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 86%.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League matches- Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry National Bank of Egypt win 35% @ 2.69
- Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon Zamalek SC win 50% @ 1.95
- Thu 29 Oct, 14:00 Future FC vs Al Ahly Al Ahly win 61% @ 1.57
- Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla Pyramids FC win 69% @ 1.44
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Al Ittihad vs El Geish Al Ittihad win 37% @ 2.75
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi Olympic El Qanah win 35% @ 2.82
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAsyut Petrol
LWLLL
- 20 Oct · H v Zamalek SC 0–1 (xG 1.01–1.36)
- 13 Oct · A v Abu Qair Semad 2–1 (xG 0.79–1.21)
- 15 Sep · H v Future FC 0–2 (xG 0.43–1.21)
- 7 Sep · A v Al Ittihad 0–1 (xG 0.67–0.48)
- 31 Aug · H v National Bank of Egypt 0–1 (xG 0.36–0.61)
El Gouna FC
LLLLL
- 19 Oct · H v Smouha SC 0–2 (xG 0.43–0.82)
- 13 Oct · A v Al Ittihad 1–2 (xG 0.38–1.97)
- 16 Sep · H v Petrojet 1–2 (xG 1.54–0.94)
- 9 Sep · A v Pyramids FC 0–1 (xG 0.07–1.96)
- 2 Sep · H v El Mokawloon 0–1 (xG 1.14–1.61)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.