Al Ittihad vs El Geish prediction

18:00

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Borg El Arab Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 87%Books 88% Best odds 1.13 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

37%

Bookmakers 35%

Draw

35%

Bookmakers 35%

Away win

27%

Bookmakers 30%

Us 37%Bookmakers 35% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.8% alone is not enough).

Home win: 37% against a market price of 35% (+2.8%).

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Al Ittihad vs El Geish preview

Al Ittihad host El Geish in the Premier League on Friday 30 October at 18:00 at Borg El Arab Stadium.

Our model gives Al Ittihad 37%, the draw 35% and El Geish 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 35%, 35% and 30%.

Al Ittihad have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 3 conceded).

El Geish have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Al Ittihad won 3, El Geish won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 87%.

More Premier League predictions

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Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry National Bank of Egypt win 35% @ 2.69
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon Zamalek SC win 50% @ 1.95
Thu 29 Oct, 14:00 Future FC vs Al Ahly Al Ahly win 61% @ 1.57
Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla Pyramids FC win 69% @ 1.44
Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC El Gouna FC win 35% @ 2.40
Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi Olympic El Qanah win 35% @ 2.82

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Al Ittihad

LWWWW

21 Oct · A v Ghazl El Mehalla 1–2 (xG 0.96–1.26)
13 Oct · H v El Gouna FC 2–1 (xG 1.97–0.38)
15 Sep · A v AL Masry 2–0 (xG 1.30–1.37)
7 Sep · H v Asyut Petrol 1–0 (xG 0.48–0.67)
2 Sep · A v Abu Qair Semad 2–0 (xG 1.09–0.77)

El Geish

LLLDL

20 Oct · H v Pyramids FC 1–4 (xG 1.25–2.47)
13 Oct · A v National Bank of Egypt 0–3 (xG 1.51–0.51)
14 Sep · H v Smouha SC 0–1 (xG 0.47–1.00)
7 Sep · A v Olympic El Qanah 1–1 (xG 1.18–0.54)
1 Sep · H v Masr 0–1 (xG 0.83–1.17)

Head-to-head

Al Ittihad 3 · draws 0 · El Geish 1, 1.5 goals a game

13 May 2026 · Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish (Premier League)
6 Feb 2026 · El Geish 0–1 Al Ittihad (Premier League)
28 Apr 2025 · El Geish 1–2 Al Ittihad (Premier League)
30 Nov 2024 · Al Ittihad 0–1 El Geish (Premier League)