Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 87%Books 87% Best odds 1.12 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
35%
Bookmakers 35%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 35%Bookmakers 35%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±0.8%
Most likely draw, but we would not bet on it: only 35% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).
- Draw: 35% against a market price of 35% (+0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla preview
Abu Qair Semad host Ghazl El Mehalla in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 15:00.
Our model gives Abu Qair Semad 34%, the draw 35% and Ghazl El Mehalla 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 35% and 34%.
Abu Qair Semad have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 9 conceded).
Ghazl El Mehalla have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 87%.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League matches- Thu 29 Oct, 14:00 Future FC vs Al Ahly Al Ahly win 61% @ 1.57
- Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla Pyramids FC win 69% @ 1.44
- Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC El Gouna FC win 36% @ 2.52
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Al Ittihad vs El Geish Al Ittihad win 37% @ 2.75
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi Olympic El Qanah win 35% @ 2.82
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Petrojet vs Smouha SC Petrojet win 35% @ 2.87
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAbu Qair Semad
DLLLL
- 19 Oct · A v AL Masry 1–1 (xG 0.70–1.82)
- 13 Oct · H v Asyut Petrol 1–2 (xG 1.21–0.79)
- 15 Sep · A v Al Ahly 0–2 (xG 0.55–1.98)
- 8 Sep · A v Zamalek SC 0–2 (xG 0.98–0.92)
- 2 Sep · H v Al Ittihad 0–2 (xG 0.77–1.09)
Ghazl El Mehalla
WLLLD
- 21 Oct · H v Al Ittihad 2–1 (xG 1.26–0.96)
- 12 Oct · A v Smouha SC 0–1 (xG 0.39–0.91)
- 16 Sep · H v Zamalek SC 0–1 (xG 0.66–1.26)
- 7 Sep · A v National Bank of Egypt 1–3 (xG 0.73–1.54)
- 1 Sep · H v Enppi 0–0 (xG 0.70–0.52)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.