Wofoo Tai Po vs BG Pathum United prediction
Thu 29 Oct, 12:15
Mong Kok Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Betfair)
Match result: no bet
Home win
13%
Bookmakers 11%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
66%
Bookmakers 70%
Us 66%Bookmakers 70%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-8.4% expected per unit).
- Away win: 66% against a market price of 70% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Wofoo Tai Po vs BG Pathum United preview
Wofoo Tai Po host BG Pathum United in the AFC Champions League Two on Thursday 29 October at 12:15 at Mong Kok Stadium.
Our model gives Wofoo Tai Po 13%, the draw 20% and BG Pathum United 66%; the bookmakers' prices said 11%, 19% and 70%.
Wofoo Tai Po have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 9 conceded).
BG Pathum United have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.
More AFC Champions League Two predictions
All AFC Champions League Two matches- Wed 28 Oct, 18:15 Khalidiya vs Al Wahda FC Al Wahda FC win 48% @ 2.04
- Thu 29 Oct, 07:45 Adelaide United vs Home United Adelaide United win 50% @ 1.76
- Thu 29 Oct, 12:15 Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia win 47% @ 2.05
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWofoo Tai Po
LLWLL
- 15 Oct · H v Home United 0–1 (xG 0.47–1.46)
- 17 Sep · A v Adelaide United 0–3
- 11 Dec · H v Công An Nhân Dân 1–0
- 27 Nov · A v Macarthur 1–2
- 6 Nov · A v Beijing Guoan 0–3
BG Pathum United
WDLDL
- 24 Oct · H v Chiangrai United 2–0 (xG 0.82–0.56)
- 18 Oct · A v Sisaket United 1–1 (xG 0.90–1.10)
- 15 Oct · H v Adelaide United 1–2 (xG 1.25–1.39)
- 10 Oct · H v Ayutthaya FC 1–1 (xG 1.27–0.27)
- 20 Sep · A v Bangkok United 2–3
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.