Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #18: pick published

Hash verified

Mardin 1969 v Fatih Karagümrük: Home win 47% @ 2.00 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-15T13:14:42.020580+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 6874d14094f18c8f5c51d897f28c6a1e7cce83813cbff1b40719cd2f9a6c0116
Stored hash: d312f4f6a9a43fbf90a85d3cc9f40f34cf41f647d912a29e4ba649e9f528bc87
Recomputed: d312f4f6a9a43fbf90a85d3cc9f40f34cf41f647d912a29e4ba649e9f528bc87

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Fatih Karagümrük",
  "bookmakers": 10,
  "edge": 0.0032,
  "explanation": "Home win: 47% against a market price of 46% (+0.3%).\nExpected goals Mardin 1969 1.50 – 0.87 Fatih Karagümrük.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 50% (uncertainty ±14.2%), so it carries 9% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+30% goals at home) adds 0.9 pts to home win.\nMardin 1969's defence (0.69× the league rate against) adds 0.7 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+0.3%).",
  "fixture": 1585784,
  "home": "Mardin 1969",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-15T14:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "1. Lig",
  "league_api_id": 204,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4639,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-204-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.00",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.467,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+0.3%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#17 #19

Latest entries

176 in total