Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #393: pick published

Hash verified

Inter Turku v AC Oulu: Home win 65% @ 1.41 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:03:39.554341+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: bd0b7a848f843e5ca4291ca1e93af877caafe800564121562160e74a024ce95e
Stored hash: 5a6e8e6017facfc5cb6f4af160e518729b29349fb1ee71064b33aa7ac3a200ae
Recomputed: 5a6e8e6017facfc5cb6f4af160e518729b29349fb1ee71064b33aa7ac3a200ae

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "AC Oulu",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0294,
  "explanation": "Home win: 65% against a market price of 68% (-2.9%).\nExpected goals Inter Turku 1.57 – 0.79 AC Oulu.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 56% (uncertainty ±8.3%), so it carries 26% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nInter Turku's defence (0.70× the league rate against) adds 2.2 pts to home win.\nHome advantage in this league (+17% goals at home) adds 1.6 pts to home win.\nAC Oulu's attack (0.91× the league rate) adds 0.5 pts to home win.\nAC Oulu's defence (1.04× the league rate against) adds 0.4 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-2.9%).",
  "fixture": 1638108,
  "home": "Inter Turku",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T15:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Veikkausliiga",
  "league_api_id": 244,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.6754,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-244-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "1.41",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.646,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-2.9%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#392 #394

Latest entries

1215 in total