Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #752: pick published

Hash verified

Alianza Lima v Atletico Grau: Home win 70% @ 1.30 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:14:52.033632+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 10ce609ff1f407058265143afedfcdec5fc844350b01c79da8458fcf441b80a0
Stored hash: 33d903d1d6ada5b843e2013a673cc8e20321b8ce0f4a9d20331dc311fc7313f6
Recomputed: 33d903d1d6ada5b843e2013a673cc8e20321b8ce0f4a9d20331dc311fc7313f6

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Atletico Grau",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0354,
  "explanation": "Home win: 70% against a market price of 74% (-3.5%).\nExpected goals Alianza Lima 1.76 – 0.69 Atletico Grau.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 62% (uncertainty ±6.4%), so it carries 33% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+54% goals at home) adds 5.5 pts to home win.\nAlianza Lima's defence (0.75× the league rate against) adds 2.0 pts to home win.\nAlianza Lima's attack (1.13× the league rate) adds 1.7 pts to home win.\nAtletico Grau's defence (0.89× the league rate against) takes 1.4 pts from home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-3.5%).",
  "fixture": 1549510,
  "home": "Alianza Lima",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T01:30:00+00:00",
  "league": "Primera División",
  "league_api_id": 281,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.7371,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-281-v4)",
  "odds_taken": "1.30",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.7017,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-3.5%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#751 #753

Latest entries

1215 in total