Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers prediction

19:45

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Oriel Park

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

46%

Bookmakers 46%

Us 46%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.5% alone is not enough).

Away win: 46% against a market price of 46% (+0.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers preview

Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division on Friday 30 October at 19:45 at Oriel Park.

Our model gives Dundalk 28%, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 46%; the bookmakers' prices said 29%, 25% and 46%.

Dundalk have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 12 conceded).

Shamrock Rovers have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Dundalk won 2, Shamrock Rovers won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

More Premier Division predictions

All Premier Division matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Derry City win 57% @ 1.60
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians St Patrick's Athl. win 46% @ 2.12
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Drogheda United vs Galway United Drogheda United win 42% @ 2.23
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Shelbourne vs Waterford Shelbourne win 50% @ 1.91

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Dundalk

LDLLL

23 Oct · A v Derry City 1–2 (xG 0.82–1.76)
17 Oct · A v Sligo Rovers 1–1 (xG 1.73–0.36)
2 Oct · H v Bohemians 1–2 (xG 1.20–1.93)
18 Sep · H v Shelbourne 2–3
14 Sep · H v St Patrick's Athl. 0–4 (xG 0.26–2.94)

Shamrock Rovers

WLWWW

23 Oct · H v Sligo Rovers 4–0 (xG 1.80–1.13)
16 Oct · A v Galway United 0–2 (xG 1.93–0.52)
12 Oct · H v Bohemians 2–1 (xG 1.24–1.23)
8 Oct · H v Drogheda United 3–1
18 Sep · H v Waterford 3–2 (xG 2.05–1.01)

Head-to-head

Dundalk 2 · draws 1 · Shamrock Rovers 3, 1.8 goals a game

7 Aug 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk (Premier Division)
15 May 2026 · Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division)
23 Feb 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk (Premier Division)
27 Oct 2024 · Dundalk 0–1 Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division)
4 Jul 2024 · Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Dundalk (Premier Division)
17 May 2024 · Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division)