Shelbourne vs Waterford prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45
Tolka Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 50%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 50% (-0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Shelbourne vs Waterford preview
Shelbourne host Waterford in the Premier Division on Friday 30 October at 19:45 at Tolka Park.
Our model gives Shelbourne 50%, the draw 24% and Waterford 26%; the bookmakers' prices said 50%, 24% and 26%.
Shelbourne have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 5 conceded).
Waterford have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 10 conceded).
In their last 6 meetings Shelbourne won 2, Waterford won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.3 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More Premier Division predictions
All Premier Division matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers win 46% @ 2.10
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Derry City win 57% @ 1.60
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians St Patrick's Athl. win 46% @ 2.12
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Drogheda United vs Galway United Drogheda United win 42% @ 2.23
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsShelbourne
WWWDW
- 23 Oct · A v Bohemians 1–0 (xG 1.01–0.43)
- 16 Oct · A v St Patrick's Athl. 2–1 (xG 0.55–2.57)
- 9 Oct · H v Sligo Rovers 5–1 (xG 2.60–0.50)
- 25 Sep · A v Galway United 1–1
- 18 Sep · A v Dundalk 3–2
Waterford
WWLLD
- 23 Oct · H v Drogheda United 3–1 (xG 2.05–1.08)
- 19 Oct · H v Galway United 3–2 (xG 1.84–0.61)
- 16 Oct · A v Bohemians 1–2 (xG 1.28–0.56)
- 18 Sep · A v Shamrock Rovers 2–3 (xG 1.01–2.05)
- 14 Sep · H v Derry City 2–2
Head-to-head
Shelbourne 2 · draws 2 · Waterford 2, 2.3 goals a game
- 2 Aug 2026 · Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne (Premier Division)
- 22 May 2026 · Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford (Premier Division)
- 6 Feb 2026 · Waterford 1–1 Shelbourne (Premier Division)
- 26 Sep 2025 · Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford (Premier Division)
- 23 Jun 2025 · Waterford 2–2 Shelbourne (Premier Division)
- 5 May 2025 · Shelbourne 0–1 Waterford (Premier Division)