Sligo Rovers vs Derry City prediction

19:45

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Showgrounds

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.20 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

20%

Bookmakers 17%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 22%

Away win

57%

Bookmakers 61%

Us 57%Bookmakers 61% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 57% against a market price of 61% (-3.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

Join free to open them

Already a member? Sign in

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City preview

Sligo Rovers host Derry City in the Premier Division on Friday 30 October at 19:45 at Showgrounds.

Our model gives Sligo Rovers 20%, the draw 23% and Derry City 57%; the bookmakers' prices said 17%, 22% and 61%.

Sligo Rovers have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 14 conceded).

Derry City have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Sligo Rovers won 1, Derry City won 4 and 1 was drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Premier Division predictions

All Premier Division matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers win 46% @ 2.10
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians St Patrick's Athl. win 46% @ 2.12
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Drogheda United vs Galway United Drogheda United win 42% @ 2.23
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Shelbourne vs Waterford Shelbourne win 50% @ 1.91

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Sligo Rovers

LDLLL

23 Oct · A v Shamrock Rovers 0–4 (xG 1.13–1.80)
17 Oct · H v Dundalk 1–1 (xG 0.36–1.73)
9 Oct · A v Shelbourne 1–5 (xG 0.50–2.60)
19 Sep · H v St Patrick's Athl. 0–1
14 Sep · H v Galway United 1–3

Derry City

WWLWD

23 Oct · H v Dundalk 2–1 (xG 1.76–0.82)
19 Oct · H v St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 (xG 0.70–2.61)
16 Oct · A v Drogheda United 0–2 (xG 1.35–0.92)
18 Sep · H v Galway United 1–0
14 Sep · A v Waterford 2–2

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers 1 · draws 1 · Derry City 4, 1.8 goals a game

7 Aug 2026 · Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers (Premier Division)
6 Apr 2026 · Sligo Rovers 0–0 Derry City (Premier Division)
6 Feb 2026 · Derry City 2–1 Sligo Rovers (Premier Division)
5 Oct 2025 · Derry City 1–0 Sligo Rovers (Premier Division)
12 Jul 2025 · Sligo Rovers 2–0 Derry City (Premier Division)
22 Apr 2025 · Derry City 3–0 Sligo Rovers (Premier Division)