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St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians prediction

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Richmond Park
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
46%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 46%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 46% against a market price of 46% (+0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians preview

St Patrick's Athl. host Bohemians in the Premier Division on Friday 30 October at 19:45 at Richmond Park.

Our model gives St Patrick's Athl. 46%, the draw 27% and Bohemians 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 27% and 28%.

St Patrick's Athl. have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Bohemians have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings St Patrick's Athl. won 1, Bohemians won 2 and 3 were drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.

More Premier Division predictions

All Premier Division matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

St Patrick's Athl.

DLLWW
  • 23 Oct · A v Galway United 0–0 (xG 0.66–0.67)
  • 19 Oct · A v Derry City 0–1 (xG 2.61–0.70)
  • 16 Oct · H v Shelbourne 1–2 (xG 2.57–0.55)
  • 19 Sep · A v Sligo Rovers 1–0
  • 14 Sep · A v Dundalk 4–0 (xG 2.94–0.26)

Bohemians

LWLWW
  • 23 Oct · H v Shelbourne 0–1 (xG 0.43–1.01)
  • 16 Oct · H v Waterford 2–1 (xG 0.56–1.28)
  • 12 Oct · A v Shamrock Rovers 1–2 (xG 1.23–1.24)
  • 2 Oct · A v Dundalk 2–1 (xG 1.93–1.20)
  • 18 Sep · H v Drogheda United 2–1 (xG 2.01–0.86)

Head-to-head

St Patrick's Athl. 1 · draws 3 · Bohemians 2, 1.5 goals a game

  • 26 Jun 2026 · Bohemians 2–0 St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division)
  • 24 Apr 2026 · St Patrick's Athl. 3–1 Bohemians (Premier Division)
  • 8 Feb 2026 · Bohemians 0–0 St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division)
  • 20 Oct 2025 · Bohemians 0–0 St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division)
  • 4 Jul 2025 · St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 Bohemians (Premier Division)
  • 25 Apr 2025 · Bohemians 2–1 St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division)